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It's true that most Nintendo systems don't last more than 7 years, but it's also worth pointing out that most Nintendo systems haven't enjoyed the success Switch has achieved. Additionally, this is their only system as opposed to have 2 at a time for the past almost 4 decades.

8-8.5 years is still possible for the Switch. (I could see the pandemic being a reason for the successor releasing in 2025 as opposed to 2024.)