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Pinkie_pie on 15 July 2022
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Otter said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Your numbers assume that people in Japan and RoW want the PS5 as much as they want the PS4.  The reality is that they don't.

Those numbers assume that PS5 isn't just going to fall of a cliff in terms of demand in 2023 when its actual system sellers arrive & in future years when it has price cuts/hardware revisions. If its alredy sold 5m in 18months supply constrained, full price and with barely any next gen exclusives exclusives, Its hard to imagine selling less than 15m over 7 years.

Up until now, 95% of games have been cross gen. Were seeing the end of that with Resident Evil 4 remake, Avatar, Gotham knights, Forspoken, Final Fantasy XVI, Spiderman 2, suicide Squad, Final Fantasy, knights of the old Republic, VII Rebirth and they'll be much more.  But we think sales are going to nose dive? 

I feel like people are more projecting their feelings on the PS5 versus just making reasonable projections of its performance thus far. Anyway, if that's your projection we'll wait and see.

He has a bet with curl that ps5 and xbox series would sell less than 56 million by the end of 2023. Currently both are at 36 million combined and will be well over 50 million by the end of 2022!