Famitsu Sales: Week 27, 2022 (Jun 27 - Jul 03)

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Norion said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Your numbers assume that people in Japan and RoW want the PS5 as much as they want the PS4.  The reality is that they don't.

No my numbers don't assume that since I think it's likely to fall behind the PS4 by a notable amount but not by about 50%. If you think a decline that big is possible in Japan + RoW could you post a yearly sales breakdown? I wonder what you expect yearly sales in those regions combined in 2023-2029 to be for them to not exceed 10m in that period.

I expect them to finish the year at 6.8m LTD total.  After that annual sales look something like this (in millions).

Year	Japan + RoW	LTD
20-22	6.8	6.8
2023	1.8	8.6
2024	1.6	10.2
2025	1.3	11.5
2026	1	12.5
2027+	3	15.5

I expect a big drop next year, and then Sony will respond with price cuts and bundles in 2024 and later to reduce the annual % drops.  (Please note that RoW does not include any of the Americas.)  Feel free to post your own annual breakdown, so we can compare sales predictions.