curl-6 said:
Sony is still going to get almost 100% of AAA games by default, including from Japanese developers. The likes of Capcom, Square Enix, etc, are still going to support the PS5 as if it's the market leader even if it's not. Couple this with the current severe supply constraints easing over time, and PS5 will most likely be doing better say two years from now than currently. |
This is not reality. Most of the big selling titles, the ones that sell 3m+ in Japan, are published by Nintendo (or Pokemon Co.). The Switch is full of these kind of titles: Pokemon, Smash Bros, Mario Kart, Animal Crossing, Splatoon, etc.... Switch is getting 3 titles like this in 2022 alone.
Meanwhile, PS5 will be lucky to get one 3m+ seller, and it will be the next Monster Hunter. That is assuming the PS5 doesn't hold MH back so much that it underperforms like everything else so far. DQ12 will be on a Nintendo system, either Switch or Switch 2. It will probably be on PS5 as well, but it won't really move systems, because most people will buy it on a Nintendo system instead.
When you have all of the big selling titles on Switch, it really shows why PS5 software isn't selling. Why buy a PS5? For the Japanese, there really isn't a good reason. All of the biggest games are on Switch. People don't need a PS5. And since software is selling so badly on PS5, more and more third party games are being moved to Switch every year. There really isn't much of a reason for people in Japan to get a PS5.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox