Sounds way too optimistic with saying "Ukraine isn't losing". To me it looks pretty clear that Russia has learned much better how to deal with the situation while Ukraine who came already from a high standard in tactics doesn't have that learning curve. Russian soldiers seemed to be pretty bad the first months compared to the Ukrainian ones. Russia also seems to manage it pretty well now to destroy a lot of incoming supplies before it even reaches the east of Ukraine while Russia's supplies mostly reach their destination.
There is some explosion of supply here and there on Russian ground but that's nothing to what Russia does even 500 miles into Ukraine.
Russia won't take Ukraine but to me it doesn't look like they will be able to defend anything of Donbas forever right now. And retaking any bigger city when Russia's military will fortify there sounds impossible when Ukraine doesn't get much to attack with. They only get defensive stuff and some howitzers but nothing to really fight back.
Seems like Russia has absolutely no problem to always resupply with ammunition (and also helicopters, jets and tanks when they get destroyed) while Ukraine's soldiers seem more and more to fight with their last shell and have to wait to get more which will also only be enough for a few more days.
I hope I'm wrong but I really don't see much hope for Ukraine defending or even retaking Donbas + some more areas especially in the south.
Last edited by crissindahouse - on 14 June 2022
Essay Pro