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The_Liquid_Laser said:
curl-6 said:

Out of curiosity Liquid_Laser, what is your current lifetime sales prediction for the PS5?

For PS5 alone, I can confidently say it will sell under 80m lifetime.  I will probably revise that number downward soon though, because 80m seems too high at this point.  Don't be surprised if I start giving a number less than 80m in the near future.

I would agree that reaching 100m could prove to be a challenge for PS5 depending on how much of Playstation's lunch Xbox gobbles due to Microsoft's acquisitions and the Series S, but it's unrealistic to expect 80m or less, even if Switch 2 is a mega-hit right out of the gate.  This generation will surely last at least as long as gen 7 and it's not like the chip shortage is only affecting Sony.

You have to consider everything else that would have to go wrong for Sony for <80m to occur.  The PS3, a console that launched a year after the 360, at a much higher price tag and also released against strong competition from both Microsoft and Nintendo still sold more than 80m.  The PS3 was also tricky to develop for compared to 360, whereas this time both companies have winners on their hands that are evenly priced and launched simultaneously.  Microsoft's acquisitions will indeed play a part, but most exclusivity there won't be a factor for a while at least.  And although many of Sony's games will also come to PC, Playstation is still a popular brand worldwide and when PS5 console exclusive like a brand new Spiderman show up coupled with an eventual price reduction, I certainly don't see the PS5 falling short of the PS3 in the end.

Last edited by archbrix - on 08 June 2022