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curl-6 said:
Sogreblute said:

The PS5 isn't 1/5th of the way to 100 million. There's always that chance it has great early success, but has bad long term success. I do think 90-100 million is the minimum people would expect. Whatever the number I highly doubt it reaches PS4 numbers since the PS4 had the benefit of Nintendo and Microsoft screwing up in the 8th generation. 

If anything it seems to me it would be the opposite; it's early sale are being strangled by shortages while demand is through the roof, so as supply increases its sales should be much better than they are now.

A more likely scenario is the apparent demand is inflated due to scalping.  Whenever there is a shortage, scalpers buy up a product in short supply and make the shortage even worse.

It turns out that 2020 created the perfect environment for people to get into scalping.  People had to work from home (if at all) while everyone wanted to play video games and they had to buy their hardware and software online.  A scalper couldn't ask for a better scenario than that.  And even now that people are returning to work, there are a lot more scalpers out there (worldwide), because they have found scalping to be more profitable than their old job.  Of course, once the chip shortage goes away, then these scalpers are going to be stuck holding onto a whole lot of excess inventory, and PS5 will seem like it is a whole lot less in demand than was previously thought.