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Mandalore76 on 12 April 2022
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IcaroRibeiro said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I'm going to go ahead and call this generation for XBox over PS5. XBox is kicking ass in the Americas, and sales for the two systems are fairly close in Europe. The only place PS5 has a big lead over XBox is in Japan, and things do not bode well for PS5 long term in Japan. Most importantly, XBox sales are going really well and they haven't even released any of their big Bethesda or Activision exclusives yet. I just don't see PS5 having much hope in making a comeback.

Xbox is not selling all they can produce, we can easily spot Series S to buy

Meanwhile PS5 is selling everything it can, meaning their sales are only being delayed until it gets available 

With 40k gap every week it would take 2 and half years until Xbox finally outsell PS5. Unless we see a ramp in demand for Xbox for whatever reason I see very small chances for this prediction to happen, what is likely to happen is Xbox will saturate first and PS5 will have a stronger second half of its life 

I have no doubt that the PS5 will enjoy stronger sales in the 2nd half of its life than it is able to supply in its first half.  However, consumers are a fickle lot.  There are scores of people who would have bought a PS5, but not finding one available have already turned to an Series S purchase or a Series X if they could find one.  It's going to be very difficult for Sony to reclaim those would be potential sales at a later point in time.  Those sales are more than "delayed", they are more potentially "lost".  Look at how many people left the Sony ecosystem from the PS2 (157m) gen to the PS3 (87m).  PlayStation shed 70 million users from its ecosystem who didn't want to wait for the price of the PS3 to come down later in the gen.  That's the kind of situation that's playing out right now.  The increase in Series sales shows that Xbox is definitely scooping up users that PlayStation is losing due to supply issues.  It's going to be much easier for Microsoft to retain those customers for the remainder of the gen than it will be for Sony to reclaim later.