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Dulfite on 11 April 2022
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ConservagameR said:
Dulfite said:

I think the acquisitions Microsoft has made (companies that always made multi platform games suddenly being available for Gamepass for free and potentially as Microsoft exclusive games) vs. the ones Sony has made (companies that already were mainly or only making exclusives for PlayStation, still mostly selling for $60-70 each) already established, in my mind, that Xbox would overcome PlayStation globally next generation. But combine that with the shortage of supplies for PS5's compared to the collective Series lineup, and it's possible it could happen this generation.

One thing to take into account, is that Sony won't allow MS to thrive where PS can easily as well, and that's with hardware.

If XB Series S is really doing that well for MS and continues to, then you can bet Sony will do something similar next gen.

If for whatever reason next gen, Sony can't guarantee vastly increased chip production, they'll just copy the low end model.

The difference will end up much like Pro vs XB1X. Sony's low end launch model will be slightly weaker and $50-$100 cheaper.

Which will almost certainly mean a high end PS6, like the PS5, slightly weaker but same price as high end XB Series 2 X.

So something like a $250 PS6 S and a $500 PS6. (why not a $750 PS6 BC model with built in Cell BE while they're at it?)

Game Pass or not, a $250 next gen PS console vs a $300 next gen XB console will likely end up a big win for Sony.

That will probably mean the high end PS6 model won't shine like it could, but will allow the market share to shift considerably back to PS.

If that was the same market, I'd agree with you. But by next gen the market will fully be feeling the impact of Microsoft scooping up so many formerly multiplatform developers and either turning their games into exclusives or making it seem like a no brainer to play them on their devices due to how much you save with Gamepass. 

PS5 is still going to get a lot of games due to existing contracts. But PS6 isn't going to get Elder Scrolls 7, Starfield 2, Fallout 6, Doom 4, Call of Duty, Diablo 5, Overwatch 3, or the endless list of other games they would have gotten access to just a couple of years ago. PlayStation is internally bleeding, but because it isn't visible on the outside its fans are thinking they are healthy.  By next gen, there will be visible signs.

Last edited by Dulfite - on 11 April 2022