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Famitsu Top 10 Switch Launches:

  1. Animal Crossing: New Horizon (Nintendo) - 1.880.626
  2. Pokémon Legends: Arceus (Pokemon Co) - 1.424.657
  3. Pokémon Brilliant Diamond / Shinning Pearl (Pokemon Co) - 1.395.642
  4. Pokémon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co) - 1.364.544
  5. Monster Hunter: Rise (Capcom) - 1.302.132
  6. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) - 1.238.358
  7. Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) - 670.955
  8. Pokémon: Let's Go Pikachu! / Let's Go Eevee! (Pokemon Co) - 664.198
  9. Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) - 511.625
  10. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 345.697

Kirby is looking like it will launch higher than Momotaro, making it the biggest launch for the franchise in Japan

There is also an OLED Bundle on the official Nintendo store which will help with the shipment numbers depending on how large the supply is there. 

Looking very likely that this will be the first time a game in the franchise surpasses 2 million units in Japan.

Super Mario Odyssey is the best comparison, which finished with 434pt on COMG. The main thing to consider is the stage of life of the Switch and how much larger the userbase is right now compared to 2017. This is what will help Kirby Forgotten Lands to end up with a similar launch and lifetime sales to a historically much bigger franchise.