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Sword/Shield is at 22.64m now. I think BD/SP actually will end up in the 22-24m range while Sw/Sh will end a few million above that.

curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox