And that's where it ended. This was a discussion from the time when Switch had reached 36.87m in shipments. |
Don't worry. As you may already know, my original prediction for the Switch was 3DS+ Wii U, just from the simple premise of combined development. It is clear in those posts that I believed at the time it would outleg the Wii and perhaps outsell it, but that 125m would be difficult.
My most recent predictions are in November 2020/2021, which surpass the 125m mark. I do think it is nice to have optimistic people on these forums, for I tend to be a bit pessimistic when it comes to sales of consoles.
@bold, While it has happened, it happened in different ways. Old consoles attained significant legs due to launching very late in smaller countries. I have always maintained that newer consoles can't have the same legs as those older consoles for this reason.
Another main reason is due to the console manufacturer wanting to move on quickly to their next console.
The third main reason is due to regional strength. As a person who lives in Japan, I just don't believe Japan has what it takes to put out significant sales anymore. Japan is however very much in love with revisions, so your revision strategy might work.