It is starting to feel possible that they could have just moved it over to Switch 2 development and it'll be a launch game for that system in 2024 (spring or holiday), unless Nintendo has a bunch more big games planned for Switch after 2022 and they push Switch 2 out to 2025, in which case no way it waits until Switch 2. But I think it is reasonable to expect MP4 to release maybe Fall of 2023 as perhaps one of the last big first party games on the Switch before the next system comes out the following year. Metroid isn't an evergreen series so releasing it a handful of months or a year before a new system comes out wouldn't be a big deal because most of its sales are going to be in the first month or two.
I think most likely we will see MP4 on Switch but late in its lifecycle, in late 2023, 6 to 12+ months before Switch 2 launches, and therefore won't be a cross-gen title but it may be the last big game you buy on the Switch.
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