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Slownenberg on 22 January 2022
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Qwark said:
Slownenberg said:

2022 sales:

That's such a weird prediction to make. Switch 2022 Japan sales have a good chance of doubling PS5 lifetime thru 2022 Japan sales. To predict it will merely outsell it is so a weird thing to say. Like of course it will, ytd Switch sales will pass PS5 lifetime to date sales probably around July, and destroy it over the holidays. This is about as bold a prediction as saying PS5 2022 Japan sales will surpass XBSeries lifetime to date sales by end of the year lol

DQ12:

It would be very bizarre if it was a timed exclusive for playstation. In Japan, the game would obviously get most of its sales from Switch. Japan software sales of PS4 are dead and software sales on PS5 after over a year have never gotten of life support. Switch sweeps like top 30 like it's a matter of routine these days. In other areas of the world maybe a PS4/PS5 sales combo would get more sales but overall globally it might be an even split. It'd make no sense to make it a timed exclusive, either for Switch or Playstation. 

Timed wouldn't make any sense, but full exclusive to Switch will. It's much cheaper to develop a game for the Switch than for the PS5 if it's a big franchise. They can even port it to pc, like they did with Monster Hunter Rise. This sounds like a more profitable approach. It's not only about revenue generated by a game, but also about the cost of a game. At this moment the costs of making a full fledged PS5 Xbox/PC version aside the Switch version might be to expensive. On PC the game will sell well regardless and Switch will do amazing as well.

PS5 will probably go on to sell a million units a year or less. Whilst Switch still has some 3 to 4 million years in Japan to look forward too. They can always make an OLED lite for Japan.

I mean it is possible. I just looked up DQ11 sales numbers and I didn't realize that Japan alone accounts for nearly 2/3rd of its sales. I figured sales in the west were a good bit higher than they are. I was gonna say DQ12 would get plenty of sales in the west from playstation but apparently that's now really the case. DQ11 has sold over 2 million copies in the west but that's across multiple systems. So a Switch exclusive certainly isn't out of the question as obviously Switch would account for the vast majority of sales for DQ12. But I bet a PS5 version would sell enough globally to warrant a port on those systems. Even if a PS5 version would only account for a million sales globally I'm guessing that warrant a port. I assume the game will be made on the Switch and ported to the ps5 with maybe some graphical upgrades, though I think they would release at the same time.