| RolStoppable said: The kind of saturation we are seeing for Switch in Japan is merely saturation at the current price points which are still the same ones as at launch of each SKU. This is a trajectory that does not necessitate the launch of a successor before holidays 2024. Real saturation has occured when everything that could be done has been done and 1m+ annual sales in Japan become unattainable. We aren't remotely close to that. |
Yup exactly. The Switch, about to hit 5 years in, and literally is still at launch prices. That is crazy. And it is still having huge hardware sales in Japan. If they want to keep the Switch going into 2025 or even 2026 they have tons of room to implement price cuts in the coming years, hell they could even make a Lite OLED in 2023 if they wanted and sell it for $200, they can also release a bunch new colors for those people who like to blow money buying a new version of the same system they already have haha. They also can release a second 3D Mario, a first 2D Mario, Pokemon gen 9, along with a second Pokemon Legends or Pokemon Let's Go, MK9, another Ring Fit, another Mario Party, and a plethora of other series Nintendo fans want, not to mention DQ12 would no doubt be out by then and it would be a huge hit in Japan on the Switch.
Japan sales will probably be close to 5 million this year, so it's not like it's close to saturated, it's just past its peak is all.
