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The_Liquid_Laser said:

I looked up the domestic totals of Black Panther and Infinity War. Turns out they aren't that different.

Infinity War $679M
Black Panther $700M

I went ahead and guessed 650-699M, because I think No Way Home will end up around these totals too.

Well, I definitely underestimated No Way Home.  It's about to clear $700M.  Black Panther was a huge film when it released, especially in the US.  Any film that can pass Black Panther has scored a major accomplishment.

I think Avatar is about $760 million. I think it is unlikely to pass that, but it does have an outside chance if it can keep up great legs.  Most likely it will end up between Avatar and Black Panther which is an impressive spot to be in.