haxxiy on 15 January 2022
The latest IHME projection brought the worldwide peak forward again (to January 10th!) at 132 million daily infections. The mega-peaks here in Brazil and in India seem rather high, perhaps implausibly so... or are they?
There are reports health centers in India are absolutely swamped with respiratory illness. And, here in Brazil, literally 30% of the entire healthcare personnel in some states are off duty with Covid *right now*. Hundreds of thousands of cases still weren't counted because there are not enough people to crunch the numbers, and tests are almost running out in most places.
It would also be consistent with dropping wastewater viral RNA levels in most of the US, even places like California that haven't peaked yet.
