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Kakadu18 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I really liked everything you said here, except this one thing:

"Sunbreak + Triangle Strategy + Touken Ranbu + eBaseball 2022 + unrevealed third party titles > all Third Party titles launched in 2021 that managed over 100K sales per Famitsu's Top 30 (1.5M)"

Wouldn't Monster Hunter Rise be included in that "all Third Party titles launched in 2021..."  I'm pretty sure that game alone is over 1.5M.

Over 3.5mil actually. He meant titles that didn't top 1mil.

Oh I see.  That makes sense.

And his overall point is solid.  2022 is looking to be one hell of a year for software.  That is also why even though we are past peak hardware, YoY drops in hardware sales will be gradual.  We are almost at the Switch's 5 year anniversary and for many Nintendo systems the software pipeline would have dried up by that point.  Switch's software is still going strong.

For example, the Wii's 5 year anniversary would have been Dec 2, 2011 (in Japan).  At that point they would have just gotten the disappointing Skyward Sword and have basically nothing left to look forward too.  In North America we still had XC1 and the annual Just Dance games as the only significant releases and that was basically it.  The Switch's software this year totally blows all of that away.  They could literally release XC3 this year, and it would still be seen as a mid-sized release compared to everything else.  That is how much better Switch's software is looking than the Wii at a similar time period.