curl-6 said:
Dulfite said:
Demographics are important, not to be a downer. There were ~ 7 billion people in 2011 at the end of the Wii, whereas 2023 is projected to have ~ 8 billion. So, Switch got to the milestone of 100 million sold 17% faster, but will end up having 12.5% more people to sell to. And that's just the general numbers, take into account that as older generations die out, more % of the population will have played video games in their life, and the people born now will be a lot easier to get into gaming than old people in 2011 were, so it's only going to get easier and easier to crush previous records. Not until every generation, even 80 year olds, have played video games, will we get to a point where things balance out, and even then if the population continues to rise the consumer base will as well. Demographic advantages for sure. |
Most of that population growth is in parts of the world where Nintendo doesn't have much reach though, like poor developing nations. Not saying the Switch doesn't have an advantage, but I think most of the difference comes from it being able to tap into the portable market rather than demographic changes in the world's population. |
The general growth was only a portion of what I said. The bigger factor is a percentage of our population is dying that never played video games or will ever and are being replaced by babies that will grow up into kids that play games in some form. That trend will continue for the next 30-40 years until every generation alive will have played video games at some point.
