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Endymion said:

It's probable that in 2021 the annual third-party packaged software sales on NSW will beat the PS4 third-party packaged software peak year which was 2018 (~9.10M).


Famitsu Third Party Switch Top 50 2021(Unofficial Ranking)

  1. Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.326.057
  2. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 1.224.205
  3. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 662.862
  4. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 309.722
  5. Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 227.554
  6. Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 210.259
  7. Shin Megami Tensei V (Atlus) - 184.388
  8. Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 183.733
  9. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  10. Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  11. Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami) - 127.221
  12. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 115.610
  13. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 115.375
  14. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 104.751
  15. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 102.074
  16. Super Robot Wars 30 (Bandai Namco) - 89.931
  17. Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 89.916
  18. Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 85.310
  19. Minecraft Dungeons + Ultimate Edition (Microsoft) - 85.162
  20. Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  21. Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai Namco) - 69.449
  22. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 65.620
  23. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 62.119
  24. Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 61.350
  25. The Battle Cats Unite! (Ponos) - 51.268
  26. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 40.688
  27. FIFA 22: Legacy Edition (Electronic Arts) - 40.643
  28. Fortnite: Minty Legends Pack (Epic Games) - 36.749
  29. Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 36.105
  30. Family Trainer (Bandai Namco) - 35.273
  31. Fatal Frame: Maiden of Black Water (Koei Tecmo) - 30.364
  32. Power Pro Kun Pocket R (Konami) - 30.103
  33. Densha de Go!! (Square Enix) - 29.624
  34. Apex Legends: Champion Edition (Electronic Arts) - 29.057
  35. Danganronpa Decadence + Danganronpa S (Spike Chunsoft) - 27.626
  36. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 27.539
  37. Disney Magical World 2: Enchanted Edition (Bandai Namco) - 26.823
  38. Disgaea 6: Defiance of Destiny (Nippon Ichi) - 25.744
  39. Jack Jeanne (Broccoli) - 25.518
  40. Tokimeki Memorial: Girl's Side 4th Heart (Konami) - 24.319 
  41. Dragon Quest X: Heavenly Heroes Online (Square Enix) - 22.702
  42. Neo: The World Ends with You (Square Enix) - 22.028
  43. Eiga Sumikko Gurashi (Nippon Columbia) - 20.613
  44. The Quintessential Quintuplets Double Integral (Mages.) - 20.374
  45. A-Train: All Aboard! Tourism (Artdink) - 20.043
  46. The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles (Capcom) – 18.197
  47. Angelique Luminarise (Koei Tecmo) - 14.506
  48. Winning Post 9 2021 (Koei Tecmo) - 14.368
  49. Monark (FuRyu) - 12.880 
  50. Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! (Playism) - 12.266

TOTAL: 7.534.943

Considering the vast majority of titles in this list sold a lot of additional copies outside the Top 30 list and there is one week left which is probably the biggest week of the year in terms of evergreen software sales - no doubt that third party software will surpass PS4's 9.10M total from 2018. I'm guessing you are referencing the Media Create Top 1000 which featured 371 PS4 third party games - in this list there is only 50 and we are likely close to hitting PS4's Third Party peak with the unaccounted sales and additional week. 

In all likelihood Switch third party sales this year are going to be over 10 million, the main thing I'm asking myself is how many Switch games will make the Top 1000, at this point I'm expecting over 750.  

Last edited by noshten - on 30 December 2021