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src said:
shikamaru317 said:

Assuming VGC's roughly 16m sales for PS5 as of Dec 4th is accurate, Sony will need to sell like 6m consoles in less than 4 months to hit 22m sales and 23m shipped for the financial year. It's not impossible that they hit 23m, but considering the size of their recent weekly shipments for late November, it is looking increasingly unlikely that 23m will be reached by the end of March. We'll have to wait and see.

One thing is for sure, Microsoft seems to be able to produce alot more Series S than Sony can produce PS5, Series S sales are huge this Holiday, Series S has been in stock on Amazon US for about a week straight now, and it has even passed Switch OLED on the Amazon US bestsellers chart. If Series S can move this many units at $300 without a bundled game, imagine what Series S could move next Holiday at $250, or better yet $250 with Starfield or a few months of gamepass bundled? $200 on Holiday discounts will probably be reached on Series S by the time that games like Fable, Hellblade 2, Perfect Dark, Avowed, and id's next game (Quake?) start releasing in 2023 and 2024. Think about a $200 Series S late this gen bundled with Elder Scrolls 6, the kind of numbers that could move during Holiday 2025 or 2026?

You've misunderstood.

16M for this FY (ends Mar 2022)

23M for next FY (ends Mar 2023)

Fable, Hellblade, PD, Avowed will all be outsold by a single Spiderman game or God of War. They simply aren't big IPs atm.

You’re putting too much faith into sales of these games from PS4, when they were massively bundled for years every holiday season and beyond. They will still sell very well, but you’re sadly mistaken expecting those types of numbers.

And yeah, it should outsell those games on Xbox, considering they’ll probably also be on PS4, and GamePass means a lot of Xbox users don’t need to even buy the games.