| LurkerJ said: I feel like the UK was heading towards another lockdown with or without omicron floating around, but to soften the blow, there needed to be some media buzz about a new variant. Why not just stick to the actual numbers of hospitalisations and ITU admissions? the capacity of the healthcare system is the only a metric that should be used to justify lockdowns, not some variant that we'd be only so lucky if it infected everyone spreading natural immunity and only causing a mild infection. |
Theres some truth to that, imo.
Most places will be doing a soft lockdown, in order to slow, spread rates.
Omikron is like 8 times as transmitable as delta was.
The doubleing rate, is like 1,5 day(s) (or less).
You have to remember, that hospitalisations lag behinde infections, by like 2-3 weeks, and deaths by like 4-6 weeks.
So todays 7day avg (of around 900 critical ill, hospitalised with covid, is well under the ~4000 or so, it had it its peak).
However, 3 weeks ago, infections in the UK wasnt as dramatic as it is today.
How will the big picture look a month down the line? or two? esp. after Christmas family gatherings?
January, is bound to see a drastic increase in hospitalisations to covid.
And with how transmittable omikron is, its better to try slowing it abit, so it doesnt wash over everyone all at once, and break the care system (past their stress points).
