| Shadow1980 said: The actual article was posted in Sept. 2019, a full seven months before the OP posted the link to it. At the time, the idea that the Switch might sell "just short of 100M" was not unreasonable or unrealistic, though definitely pessimistic, and one could definitely be excused for thinking that 2019 was the peak year and it was all downhill from there. Aside from maybe one or two super-optimistic super-fans, nobody seriously expected it to blow up like it did in 2020, where it ended up selling some 30-40% more than the average prediction. |
The article is laughable for several reasons:
- They expected the Switch to sell 17 million in 2019, despite releasing 8 exclusive games during this year, including a brand new Pokémon game, and a revision + new model (the Switch V2 and the Lite).
- They said that the appeal was "soaring" after only 2 years, and that the main appeal was the fact that it's portable. Early data showed it wasn't the case, and we know that it's still not the case.
- The fact that they said it will "only reach 50 million after 3 years" and concluding that it will be difficult - from this fact - to reach 100 million, despite the fact that that's better than what the PS4 did (47 million after 3 years) is also laughable.
