November NPD 2021 thread

[zorg1000]

Dulfite said:

xMetroid said:

Idk which games you are talking about cause the next Zelda, Mario, Splatoon, Pokemon, Next level games, Kirby and probably a new DK are all going to be on Switch. if they planned some things back in 2019, it was for the next titles and they can just push spread their lineup a little more than what they anticipated if a delay happens. I don't see how any of their main teams working on a launch title rn except maybe Metroid Prime 4 and the Mario Kart team but other than that.. they are already mobilized for the Switch.

Work on next gen will definitely start next year tho and maybe some teams started this year. Thing is, i think they will go the same route as current gen and put their next titles on both the Switch and the new system. That has been rumoured for a bit now. Heck, i even think the successor will be introduced as a Super Switch and will just slowly take over until the Switch and Oled are discontinued in 2024.

Games take 3-5 years to make. That means if they were planning to release Switch 2 in 2023 dating back to 2017 based on their historical cycles, then games for launch window of Switch 2 would have to start being made no later than 2020 but as early as 2018 (if a bigger game). The few games we know are coming for Switch 1 like Botw 2, MP4, etc. don't paint the full picture of what they have going on behind the scenes. There is no way they could start working on games next year 2022 with the hope of launching in time for 2023, which I'm sure they were initially aiming for. They plan their cycles out years ahead of time, it is entirely too inefficient and resource wasting to delay consoles based on the idea of squeezing the milk to the last drop. They'd rather sell 20 million Switch 2's in a year than an additional 10 million Switch 1's by delaying Switch 2, I guarantee that.

Also, the reason the ports did so well on Switch from Wii U is because hardly anyone bought Wii U's (I did). Those games had huge sales potential on a much more popular device. Porting Switch 1 games to Switch 2 may still be worth it, but they won't sell nearly as much as the Wii U Ports because Switch has fantastic sales and most that wanted to experience those games will have already.

The problem is assuming Nintendo planned a 5-6 year console cycle when they have explicitly stated otherwise.