I don't see XSX quite reaching 10m. It was at 6,189,662 for the year before BF.
Let's look at PS4/XBO 2014:
| Weeks After BF | PS5 (2021) | XSX (2021) | PS4 (2014) | XBO (2014) |
| 0 (BF Week) | 801,603 | 862,857 | 956,032 | 891,645 |
| 1 | ? | ? | 630,076 | 471,395 |
| 2 | ? | ? | 651,893 | 433,239 |
| 3 | ? | ? | 715,000 | 525,948 |
| 4 | ? | ? | 718,100 | 489,489 |
| 5 | ? | ? | 372,409 | 184,789 |
| Total | ? | ? | 4,043,510 | 2,996,505 |
for XSX to reach 10m it would need for it's total for this blackfriday till end of year period to be 3,810,338.
XSX beat PS5 BF week, but BF gives the biggest boost in USA where the battle between XSX and PS5 is closest, so I don't see XSX outselling PS5 for the rest of the year, and I don't think even PS5 is going to get to 3.8m for this holiday period.
I expect XSX to get more like 9.5m this year.
Xbox would need to almost match PS4's december 2014 to get to 10m, and I don't see either PS5 or XSX doing that.
Basically XSX would need to go from being 3% down on XBO for blackfriday to being 40% up on XBO for the remainder of the holiday period.
Last edited by Zippy6 - on 08 December 2021
