Zippy6 said:
Doctor_MG said:
So, from what I can see, even if Switch ends up being flat YoY from 2020 they will still end the year being around 5-6M units away from NDS, then the NDS will have it's 2009 holiday period which, by years end, will be at 120M units.
In the near future, unless Switch has an absolutely stellar Q1 start, Switch will likely be almost 14M units behind DS after DS's holiday period. NDS sells another 21M in 2010, and then just 13M the remaining years. If Switch can sell 20M in 2022, then it would need another 27M lifetime to outsell Nintendo DS.
For me, this is looking more and more unlikely, and I'm sticking to Switch ending at the 135-140M mark.
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I think everything comes down to Nintendo's choices for Switch's end of life.
Will the Switch get substantial price cuts? Or like the PS4 will it not.
Will the Switch get a Switch Pro? Seems a bit late for that to me.
And the one that will have the biggest effect, when will the Switch successor launch. Holiday 2023? Spring 2024? Holiday 2024?
It's basically these 3 things that determine whether it's going to sell about 135m or if it has a shot at getting to 150m+
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Nintendo could still release a switch XL. They did it for DSi and 3DS/2DS so why not Switch
