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Kneetos said:

Between 15 and 18 million
I think it's getting to the point where everyone who wants a switch will already have one.

BOTW2 alone will boost it more than that. Then we have Splatoon 3. Mario vs Rabbids 2. Advance Wars Rebootcamp. New Kirby and Bayonetta. So it will still have games that people will want a Switch for.

Bite my shiny metal cockpit!