It's been a while since I've updated this thread. I put together some info on Zelda BotW and Mario Odyssey based on Switch hardware sales. All data comes from Nintendo's quarterly reports. Numbers are in millions and BotW data only includes the Switch version.
Date | Switch | Sw total | Zelda | Z. total | Mario | M. Total |
3/31/2017 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.76 | 2.76 | ||
6/30/2017 | 1.96 | 4.7 | 1.16 | 3.92 | ||
9/30/2017 | 2.93 | 7.63 | 0.78 | 4.7 | ||
12/31/2017 | 7.23 | 14.86 | 2 | 6.7 | 9.07 | 9.07 |
3/31/2018 | 2.93 | 17.79 | 1.78 | 8.48 | 1.34 | 10.41 |
6/30/2018 | 1.88 | 19.67 | 0.84 | 9.32 | 0.76 | 11.17 |
9/30/2018 | 3.19 | 22.86 | 0.96 | 10.28 | 1 | 12.17 |
12/31/2018 | 9.41 | 32.27 | 1.4 | 11.68 | 1.59 | 13.76 |
3/31/2019 | 2.47 | 34.74 | 1.09 | 12.77 | 0.68 | 14.44 |
6/30/2019 | 2.13 | 36.87 | 0.84 | 13.61 | 0.5 | 14.94 |
9/30/2019 | 4.8 | 41.67 | 0.93 | 14.54 | 0.44 | 15.38 |
12/31/2019 | 10.82 | 52.49 | 1.8 | 16.34 | 1.21 | 16.59 |
3/31/2020 | 3.28 | 55.77 | 1.07 | 17.41 | 0.82 | 17.41 |
6/30/2020 | 5.67 | 61.44 | 1.19 | 18.6 | 0.65 | 18.06 |
9/30/2020 | 6.86 | 68.3 | 1.14 | 19.74 | 0.93 | 18.99 |
12/31/2020 | 11.57 | 79.87 | 1.71 | 21.45 | 1.24 | 20.23 |
3/31/2021 | 4.72 | 84.59 | 0.83 | 22.28 | 0.6 | 20.83 |
6/30/2021 | 4.45 | 89.04 | 0.92 | 23.2 | 0.57 | 21.4 |
9/30/2021 | 3.83 | 92.87 | 0.93 | 24.13 | 0.55 | 21.95 |
Trendline Software Projections based on Switch Hardware Sales (in millions)
Switch | Zelda | Mario |
100 | 24.76 | 22.61 |
110 | 26.27 | 23.59 |
120 | 27.73 | 24.53 |
130 | 29.14 | 25.42 |
140 | 30.51 | 26.27 |
150 | 31.85 | 27.09 |
160 | 33.15 | 27.88 |
170 | 34.42 | 28.65 |
180 | 35.67 | 29.39 |
190 | 36.88 | 30.10 |
200 | 38.08 | 30.80 |
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox