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Dulfite said:

Funny part is, my thoughts back then were quite extreme compared to what seemed like most people's thinking. Where many didn't think it would do better than Wii U, I thought it would do Wii U + 3DS sales, so roughly 90 million. Now my seemingly radical prediction is getting blown away lol.

I considered myself pessimistic/skeptical before launch, with the main problems I had being that the software lineup seemed overly reliant on ports and sequels of Wii U games, and just how bad Nintendo's marketing was the previous gen.  But whenever I was asked to predict a specific number I was like "...well it can't do worse than the 3DS, right?"  Nintendo made a lot of bad decisions with the 3DS and still sold a bunch. Whereas the Switch had a better hook, and it was going to be the only place to get Nintendo games so the fans had nowhere else to go.  This means that I put the bare minimum at 60-70 million, and once I accepted that, 100 million didn't seem so crazy anymore.