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AltarofKez said:
Lawlight said:

Anyone here thinks Pachter is wrong on this one?

Maybe.

Actually Pachter originally predicted that the Switch (NX at the time) would top out at 30 million.  The unfortunate thing was that many people back in 2015/2016 (maybe even a majority on this site) thought that Pachter was being overly optimistic with the 30M prediction.  I remember wishing that the 30M figure would be true because the Wii U seemed to be a universe away from reaching that level of sales.

You can even see in mid-2017 just how gun-shy people were towards the success of the Switch.  There really aren't many people attacking Pachter's 50 million prediction on this thread even despite his infamous record of making horrible predictions.  I mean, it was clear by this point in 2017 that the Switch was not going to be a failure in anyway and was on track to do much better than the Wii U, but the Wii U era was such a dark one that people even on this site were hesitant to get overly optimistic about Nintendo being able to break 50M sales in the home console market.  The general consensus during the Wii U era was that the Wii was the outlier and that every Nintendo home console is doomed to sell less than the previous one and it has taken quite a while for that misconception to be shaken off.