The PlayStation 5 shipped 13.4m units by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

[Shaunodon]

Kakadu18 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Yep, less than PS3.  I am very confident saying "less than 80m".  If I have to pick between "less than 70m" or "70-79m", then I'm yet sure which.  I voted "70-79m" though. 

PS5 is going to get Blockbustered.  Blockbuster was the king of video rental and then it got hit by Netflix and Redbox at the same time.  Playstation is going to lose marketshare to both Gamepass and Switch at same time.  It will get Blockbustered.

Regional breakdown will be something like this (optimistically for PS5):
Japan 5m
Row 12m
NA 23m
Europe 35m
Total 75m

In a few years time you'll either be a prophet and a genius or the one to make one the dumbest predictions ever.

I see a 0.5% chance of your prediction coming true.

I can see PS5 losing sifnificant marketshare in NA and Japan like he says, but I definitely can't imagine it falling quite that hard in one generation. 85-90m would be the floor for PS5 in my mind even if that did happen. It's already struggling for relevancy in Japan, so half that prediction is on track.

Then again, there's also a crazy chance if this chip shortage goes on long enough and Xbox/Gamepass gains momentum at just the right time, a chunk of the current unsually high demand for PS5 could shift over to XSX in the interim, and those potential sales we're projecting could end up as lost marketshare because they didn't fulfill the demand in time. Timing is also a key part of business.

Voted 100.0 - 109.9 million.