| haxxiy said: On average, you can't blame drought conditions on warming. Most of the US, for instance, has been consistently getting wetter.
Yeah, you can extrapolate from Clausius-Clapeyron and surmise that, unless it gets consistently wetter year-round, that rain events would become more intense. But that in itself won't cause lack of water for obvious reasons. You might argue things are slightly different in the Southwestern US:
But even a sample of a hundred years might not be enough to extrapolate on long-term climate cycles in certain places, and that at the beginning of the last century, the Southwest might actually have been at its wettest in over a thousand years, so nowhere to go from there but toward drier conditions:
Same thing with tornadoes, by the way.
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Keep in mind as global temperatures rise there will be far more moisture in the air, but also combined with higher temps, this has the perverse effect of areas having very different outcomes to each other due to geography and location, some will see massive increases in rainfall due to higher air moisture, and other areas will dry out dramatically with higher temperatures, all of which will have far more active weather patterns like huge storms/tornadoes due to rising energy levels in the whole system resulting in greater instability in a run-away weather system, the danger is once the tipping point has been reached human intervention will have negligible effect
Last edited by Rab - on 01 November 2021
