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Farsala said:
tbone51 said:

Funny you mention NSW year 7 and 8 won’t be that good due to the next console right? Wel let’s see how that treated 3ds shall we? 

YEAR: 3DS ———— NSW

Year5: 2.189.900 — 5.800.000 

Year6: 1.874.457 — 3.200.000 (-45% YoY)

Year7: 1.827.131 —  2.000.000 (-38% YoY)

Year8: 566.420 — 1.000.000 (-50% YoY)

what this tells you is that for 3ds even with NSW announced in oct of year 6 and released in March of year 7, 3ds still sold that year 1.8mil with 0.56mil afterwards. Now look at NSW with not even that low numbers. With those estimates I have that would mean almost 30mil and that’s unlikely since that’s more of the floor

Another thing to take into account is that the NSW is the indirect successor to the 3DS.

While the successor of the NSW will be the direct successor in all likelihood.

But I suppose, Nintendo could release an innovative, but non-hybrid home console. In that case it could be seen as an indirect successor. Nintendo would then very likely want to keep shipping out more NSW.

I still think 33m is out of reach. 30m, there is definitely more of a chance.

Indirect lol? Then what exactly is the Switch a direct successor to?