Switch OLED Boosts Switch Sales to Over 860,000 - Global Hardware Oct 2 to 9

[The_Liquid_Laser]

zorg1000 said:

curl-6 said:

I still think Switch 2021 won't quite reach 2020, but it will be close. Nothing Switch got this year was as colossal as Animal Crossing, and last year had less supply issues, but the 2021 holiday lineup is stronger and the OLED model should help make up some of the difference.

Yeah 25-26 million is what I'm thinking, or down about 10% YoY.

How do you expect it to be down 10% for the full year when it is only down 7.5% right now?  Switch had nothing special going for it from Oct - Dec in 2020.  This year has OLED and Pokemon.  All indicators say, even if Switch is down in 2021, it will be less than a 7.5% drop.  In fact, it is more likely to be up YoY in 2021.

Do you have a way to calculate how severe the chip shortage will be?  That's the only thing that could make Switch be down, and even then it would have to be pretty severe for everyone (not just Nintendo).