Famitsu Sales 6/23 - 6/29 ( TOS: Dawn of the New World 151k )

[mrstickball]

Kenology said:

CrazzyMan said:
Looks like Wii is not the best platform for HardCore games sales.. =)
With a BIGGER userbase in Japan, ToS2 sold less.. then previous game on GC.

ToS2 will probably have better legs though... and end up outselling ToS.

 

Ken - The only issue with that logic is assuming ToS2 isn't an RPG, which it is

It's very rare for any RPG to have great legs, as they tend to be very frontloaded. I did a report not too long ago on all PS2 RPGs released, and the average sales of their first week vs. LTD.

It was very rare that any, and I mean any, RPG saw an equal amount of sales over the rest of it's lifetime versus the first week.

A few numbers for you, via Japan-Gamecharts.com (numbers based off Famitsu actuals), of RPGs with sales between 125k and 175k first week, for various last, and current-gen systems...With a few others for relevancy and context.

Sys.	Game	First Week	LTD	Ratio
Wii	Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn	73,337	171,924	42.66%
PS2	Kingdom Hearts: FM	163,668	358,130	45.70%
PS2	Dawn of Mana	169,031	340,878	49.59%
PS2	Suikoden IV	179,893	311,815	57.69%
PS2	Radiata Stories	190,473	293,413	64.92%
PS2	Wild Arms 3	156,997	273,318	57.44%
PS2	SMT: Nocturne	151,203	245,520	61.58%
GC	Tales of Symphonia	183,527	322,779	56.86%
GC	Final Fantasy: CC	191,602	355,470	53.70%

 

Now, this list isn't exaustive, nor contain relevant data such as:

• Other Tales Games (aside from ToS on GC, all are >60% for their FW ratio)
• Non-Sequels (some did rather well for being new IPs, but ToS2 isn't)
• 2 Gen-Ago Titles (irrelevant, IMO)

And I threw in a few higher ones for comparison, such as Radiata Stories. At any rate, I'd think that ToS2 will probably have a 1st week to LTD ratio of around 55-60% considering everything. That would put sales anywhere between 250,000 (60% LTD) to 272,000 (60% LTD). However, it could be even higher, and be 65% which is a rough median for Tales games, which would put sales at 230,000 LTD.