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Barozi said:

Farsala said:

The survey showed that the numbers for getting both shots were correct across the board but that the number for one shot was off by up to 20% (depending on the time the survey was taken) in the age group of 18-59.

For example in one survey 75% of people in the age group of 18-59 claimed they got the first shot. That was in mid July. Official numbers only showed 59% for that group at the time. 2 months later official numbers for that age group are only at 69%. The discrepancy is still there.

Hard to say what the real numbers are. The maximum shouldn't be higher than 6 percentage points compared to official numbers (73.6% vs. 67.6%). That's total numbers, not exclusively that specific age group. Even with more moderate estimates, 70% and more is likely.

Or it could be just social desirability bias in the sample. We've seen that in surveys elsewhere such as NYC.

That feels far more likely than a two-month-long delay on vaccination status, IMO.