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src on 14 September 2021
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brute said:

Sales splits will continue to favor Playstation as its likely many Xbox gamers will wait for games to show up on GP.
Im sure third parties will also continue to make games for Xbox since that will allow MS to eventually pay them to put in on GP.
Im not an Xbox fan or owner and I dont prefer a future dominated by services like GP but gamepass is definitely a threat to Sony. The contract that Sony made with Capcom about not allowing RE8 to release on GP for at least one year is proof of this,
However, gamepass and the acquisition of Bethesda has made Sony become more competitive which I love.

Also, if we're talking about a true monopoly then look no further than Switch.

That doesn't make sense. Gamepass is 18M out of 50M XB1, and not every game appears on it, so why would the entire XB userbase wait for Gamepass.

The point is, these software splits have become even more lopsided for Playstation. What was once 60:40 is now 70:30 pushing 80:20. The UK is the the second most competitive market for Xbox. If its 70:30 in the UK, its 85:15 in the EU and its 99:1 in Asia.

Most of the revenue and exclusives come from having the most third party sales and the face its getting worse for Xbox is not a good sign.

Gamepass is not picking up the slack. We have no revenue numbers and Playstation's revenue is dominating Xbox's revenue just as it was before, so Gamepass has not made any ground there.

Playstation makes like $10B more than Nintendo. Not sure what monopoly you see Nintendo have. Nintendo sells the most software by far but thats not a monopoly. A monopoly is calculated on total market share.