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Kakadu18 on 10 September 2021
Edit Thread
noshten said:

Famitsu Top 50 2021

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.318.363 
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) – 1.125.838
  3. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury - 872.702 
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 717.226
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 568.342
  6. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 494.630
  7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) – 463.855
  8. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 394.458
  9. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield + Expansion Pass (Pokemon Co.) - 295.583
  10. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  11. [NSW] New Pokemon Snap (Pokemon Co.) - 276.800 
  12. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 268.851
  13. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword HD - 261.082 
  14. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 252.493
  15. [NSW] Splatoon 2 - 247.154
  16. [NSW] Miitopia - 239.775 
  17. [NSW] Game Builder Garage - 229.121 
  18. [NSW] Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 227.554 
  19. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 191.983
  20. [NSW] Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 186.042 
  21. [NSW] Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 183.733 
  22. [NSW] Mario Golf: Super Rush - 179.938 
  23. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  24. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 140.420
  25. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  26. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  27. [NSW] Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami) - 127.221 
  28. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 108.222
  29. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 107.560
  30. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 104.782
  31. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 103.273
  32. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 100.806
  33. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 - 87.195
  34. [NSW] Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 85.310
  35. [NSW] Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 76.361
  36. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey - 74.949
  37. [PS4] Tsukihime (Aniplex) - 74.110 
  38. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  39. [PS4] Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 72.727
  40. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 70.964
  41. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 68.180
  42. [PS5] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 67.000
  43. [NSW] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 65.620
  44. [NSW] Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 62.119
  45. [NSW] Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 61.350
  46. [NSW] Minecraft Dungeons (Microsoft) - 59.256
  47. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 - 45.207
  48. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 40.688
  49. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training - 38.944
  50. [NSW] Kirby Star Allies - 37.954

TOTAL: 12.643.001

TOTAL NSW: 12.087.916 (95.5%)

TOTAL PS4/PS5: 564.085 (4.5%)

Top 10 Publishers:

  1. Nintendo - 5.466.056 (43.2%)
  2. Capcom - 2.804.900 (22.2%)
  3. Konami - 1.439.101 (11.4%)
  4. Pokemon Co - 572.383 (4.5%)
  5. Microsoft - 523.111 (4.1%)
  6. Marvelous - 474.728 (3.8%)
  7. Square Enix - 395.162 (3.1%)
  8. Bandai Namco - 211.940 (1.7%)
  9. Koei Tecmo - 196.196 (1.6%)
  10. Neos - 183.733 (1.5%)

Next week will be key for Bandai Namco, as so far this year they've really fallen behind and are mainly carried by their Switch efforts and the evergreen status of Taiko & Fishing Spirits. Personally I expect that Tales of Arise is going to end up the biggest launch on the PS Ecosystem, outperforming Resident Evil: Village: 

[PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 111.171 / NEW <40-60%>
[PS5] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 38.713 / NEW <40-60%>

The PS5 version needs to crack 40K next week in order to make the Top 50 and become the second PS5 game to do so... I'm personally not thinking it will make it as WarioWare is also launching and should outsell it next week. Knowing the strength of the PS5 legs for example Resident Evil: Village has not managed to sell it's initial shipment despite being 50% off I dont think retailers ordered much hoping not to have a repeat situation. 

My prediction for the Tales launch is PS4 - 135K & PS5 - 35K, this will be a decline compared to Tales of Berseria which managed 160K on the PS4 and 74K on the PS3 back in 2016. A lot has changed since than, and the PS ecosystem in Japan has had a huge decline compared to last year making it difficult for me to envision any game managing a launch with over 150K physical sales. I expect the initial shipment for the game on the PS4 to be around 200K while the PS5 to only have a 60K shipment. I think there will be a second shipment for the PS4 and PS5 this year with the sales of Tales of Arise surpassing 200K on the PS4 and 70K on the PS5 making it the best selling game on the PS ecosystem this year. 

The other game launching next week is WarioWare, usually these games don't have big launches for WarioWare I still expect it to be in the 50-100K range thus making the Top 50. It's lower price and holidays coming I can see it surpassing 300K this year, long term I think the title can surpass WarioWare: Smooth Moves on the Wii which managed 658K physical sales lifetime. Depending on WoM I can see it performing like Clubhouse Games: 51 which is heading for 1 million lifetime sales. 

Clubhouse Games actually already sold over 1M in Japan including digital. The higher digital may be in part due to it's lower price.