Switch has outsold Wii U + 3DS

[peachbuggy]

yo33331 said:

Wii + DS is too much. I bet there is at least some 30% of this number having both.
So it have to be more like the number 180-200M which is about ~30% lower than the total number of both.
But yes, still I see it far from that too. It will finish closer to the 90M mark (Wii U + 3DS) than the 180-200M mark.
I give it no more than 130M lifetime. Although I am not excluding the possibilities of bigger (than my expectations) cliff coming and finishing around 120M (pessimistic) or in the optimistic scenario doing a little better sales than my realistic prediction (130M) and finishing in around ~140M mark.

So just to clarify, I don't necessary believe it will do 140 or 120M I am just not excluding them as possibilities. If I have to give percentage of my believes for the numbers I give 70% for around ~130M lifetime, and 15% for each of the ~120M and ~140M bars.

The Switch will be at 120m before or at November 2022, so unless it magically stops selling completely at that time, there's absolutely no way it sells only 120m. Hopefully that will help you to see the folly of your 130m prediction. There's practically no way it "only"  sells 10m from then until final LTD. Especially since it's highly likely that at that time, there will be no successor announced still. A more logical prediction would be 140-145m total LTD, as there's no particular reason to expect it to approach ps2/ds sales unless it has an especially long lifespan. I expect it to be replaced by holiday 2024 at the latest. Any later and perhaps it can approach ps2/ds numbers.