Global Hardware August 8-14 - PS5 and Switch Sales Rise

[zorg1000]

yo33331 said:

zorg1000 said:

Well you still don't understand the concept of emerging markets having grown since PS1/PS2 days so you didn't learn anything.

Even with growth it can't answer for more than 10-20M.

And again it's not only me. Many many people though the PS4 will do more. Because this was the natural progress going forward. Sony didn't do price cut nor they sent enough stock. However why we are talking for the PS4 here ?

I am not giving up on my prediction for the switch for 2022. That's it. Case closed.

You still don't get it.

Emerging markets growth isn't referring to overall numbers climbing, it's about the sales curve being different. The economies of those regions grew from the early 00s to the mid 10s so they were able to get PS4 much earlier than they got PS2. This is why PS2 had such long legs while PS4 did not.

Let's look at the overall sales per region for PS/XB consoles

North America

PS2+XB-69.42m

PS4+XBO-70.64m

Europe

PS2+XB-62.45m

PS4+XBO-60.95m

Japan

PS2+XB-23.71m

PS4-XBO-9.50m

Rest of the World

PS2+XB-26.75m

PS4+XBO-25.60m

The fact that PS4+XBO was at or near the level of PS2+XB in each region (excluding Japan) should have been a clear indication that PS4 was not going to have strong legs and it's sales curve was different than PS2.

The reason we are talking about PS4 is that I'm pointing out how a flaw in your analysis led you to come to a false conclusion (not factoring in economic growth in emerging markets over the last ~20 years) and that you are doing the same thing with your Switch prediction (giving PS/XB too much credit when it comes to Nintendo sales).