zorg1000 on 28 August 2021
yo33331 said:
I am not denying the Switch software lineup that is coming. It just won't help much at this point because of the saturation point .. By 2022 the system will be over 100M With more than 100M units sold even the best games even many of them won't push so much hardware as they would earlier in the lifecycle. They can help a little, It can have some 2 weeks boost. And that's it. Also for the PS4 not only me but many other people too argued for it's long legs. And the reason is because we all assumed Sony will do the right and the normal thing that normally manufacturers do when one successful system is about to enter it's last years. To drop the price. They didn't. This stopped PS4 .. not some emerging markets. Emerging markets may have been a factor if we talked about PS2 sales level. My prediction was that the PS4 can reach 130 or 140M not almost 160M. It's a combination of things. The one factor brings some 10-20M more the other some 10-20M more, the other some maybe some 5-10M. So the factor of emerging markets is not relevant here. Also the other thing that stopped the PS4, outside of it's price was that sony because of the pandemic didn't produced enough systems for the market in 2020. And this year some people says it's the same as well. I don't have data to be sure of however it is not impossible for the sales to be like they are because of not sending enough stock to all markets .. About the previous comment .. No I am not damage control anything. I just don't think Switch will reach number above 140M. And this is just a prediction. Everything is possible. Also my opinion is not based on anything connected to PS4. I don't know why it have those two to be connected. I haven't told even once that Switch won't outsell the PS4. But my prediction falls there that it won't be by more than 15-20M. Which is not small difference. You are saying that, not me. 20M is very decent difference between the two. I am very curious how and what you will be saying next year when the cliff hits. Really. And please don't compare me with those people that have really damaged control the system from day one, saying that the cliff is coming. I am not one from them I have never ever told anything about cliff for the system before this year. This year I just made a prediction about next year based on a few things. I haven't said or thought that switch would be weak selling console, or it will have the cliff in 2019 or 2020 or 2021. Or even in the start of it's life. 130-140M is still very respectable number and it is showing that the system is very successful. No denying that. I just don't believe it will hit and pass 150M. And this is in no shape or form connected to any other console sales performance or whatever. This is just my opinion going forward from now on, not from launch or from 2018/19/20. |
Well you still don't understand the concept of emerging markets having grown since PS1/PS2 days so you didn't learn anything.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.