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Elputoxd on 28 August 2021
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eva01beserk said:
Elputoxd said:

Xbox One was already selling much less than Xbox 360 at this point week on week. Good try, though. Series is selling much more than the 360. There is no cliff to be seen for the next 2 years. It's going to sell more in 2022 and 2023 simply because of the increase in supply. 

Even if Series started selling less than the 360 in 2024 (highly, highly doubtful), the difference would have to be very big for the 360 to keep up. Series is going to sell 10-11 million this year, the 360 didn't reach those sales until it had been three years on the market, in 2022 Series could sell 14 or 15 million (which the 360 never reached).

Comong man we are on a sales website. What would that kind of lie get you anyways? It took 3 years for the 360 to pass the x1. And people like to forget that the 360 was never a great seller. It was just on the market for the longest any console has ever been.

The problem with the x1 is that it sold its highest the very first year. After that it was decline every year. And while the series dosent indicate any sort of decline like the x1 did it still premature to be calling increases. Especially with ms focusing all marketing on gamepass and not the Xbox. Also the complete lack of games that has plagued the xbox for over a decade. We still dont know if the wait is to long next year and we see the same kind of decline the x1 did.

I said Xbox One was already selling less week on week than the 360 at this point and you can chek it out. It's not my problem if you don't know how to read:

Week ending August 19, 2006 (Xbox 360): 73k

Week ending August 23, 2014 (Xbox One): 54k (LESS THAN THE 360 WEEK ON WEEK)

Week ending August 14, 2021 (Xbox Series X/S): 123K

Then X1 had a very low advantage over the 360 for around a year and a half because of the price cut and then it started selling less than te 360 again. There is no reason to think Series is going to start selling less week on week than the 360 until at least 2024.

Edit: for the record, this is my current prediction:


Xbox 360 vs Xbox Series X/S

Year 1: 1.1M vs 3M
Year 2: 6.8M vs 10.5M
Year 3: 7.9M vs 12.5M
Year 4: 11.16M vs 13M
Year 5: 10.36M vs 12.5M
Year 6: 13.5M vs 10.5M
Year 7: 13.9M vs 9M
Year 8: 10.6M vs 8M
Year 9: 6.2M vs 5M
Year 10: 2.5M vs 3.2M
Year 11: 988k vs 1.4M

I expect Series to sell a bit more than the 360 (88M)