By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
yo33331 said:
zorg1000 said:

What exactly is going to happen in January that will cause a significant decline?

This is what I'm talking about, opinions/predictions have to be based on something to be taken seriously, otherwise it's just random nonsense.

Starting next year I am expecting Switch weekly sales to begin to decline. If of course the stock is full of the next gen consoles.

And further in the year Switch numbers to gradually decline month on month, making around 15M for the year. And the numbers for both of the new consoles to rise with that. What will happen will be the result of my prediction coming true or not true. Well the result will not be clear in January, however this is the point I am expecting from which on Switch will begin gradually decline and the problem with the stock for the new console to mostly be fixed, being shipped way more than now. If you want more and detailed explanations, I have already done many of them in that june thread that I mentioned. I am not writing everything again here.

What you are describing here is a natural sales curve, not a cliff. NSW going down in its 6th year is expected. PS5/XBS going up in their 2nd year is expected.

PS5/XBS are entirely irrelevant to NSW sales and vice versa. NSW launched with great sales during the PS4/XBO peak. PS5/XBS launched to great sales in the NSW peak. They do not impact each other.

Once you erase PS5/XBS from your analysis than you will come to a more realistic prediction for NSW.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.