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200 million is definitely not possible, in fact 170 million is also not possible, the switch has another 3 years before the next Nintendo console, and there's less and less people without one. I don't see Nintendo selling another 80 million in 3 years unless there would be a big price drop.

If they manage to keep current sales numbers they could hit 150 million and that's my prediction. I guess numbers will drop over time when the ps5 and xbox became in stock constantly as those will gather more interest. But on the other side switch will have some boosts over christmas.