PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Kakadu18 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

That's how I see it too.  200 million is possible, but not a sure thing.  

BTW, 200 million was never my number.  That was the number you came up with.  I was thinking SSS tier in terms of the poll, as in outselling PS2 by a large margin.

So what is your number? 170M or 180M?

I'm not totally confident in the Switch outselling the DS and PS2 because I think there's a possibility of the Switch never getting a price cut. And I don't think there will ever be a Switch pro.

For a couple of years now I've been saying 170m, but that is looking increasingly more conservative to me at this point.  Tbone has made a thread predicting 200m+.  I see that as a possibility, but I am not ready to predict that yet.  

What I've been waiting for is to see when Switch's peak year actually is (and I tend to go by FY and not calendar year).  Last year I was sure that was going to be peak year, but Switch has been doing so well this year compared to last year's Animal Crossing spike.  Last year also had an extremely mild holiday quarter as far as software releases go.  I think this year is actually going to be the peak year.

Peak year is important, because consoles usually sell roughly about 1/2 their total up to that point.  Once we are past the peak, then we'll get a much better idea of just how far the Switch will (and won't) go.  Right now, I'll just say 170m as a bare minimum and in a year or so I hope to have a better number.