Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[JRPGfan]

Barozi said:

Doubt I've seen this posted here but I found a nice research paper about excess deaths in many countries. There's also a nice table included.

https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336

Shame there's no data for Turkey as I expect that to be heavily undertracked. Many East European, Central Asian and Latin American countries seem to have much higher excess deaths than their official Covid data would lead you to believe. But also countries like Egypt (13 times higher excess deaths than reported Covid deaths) and South Africa (almost 3 times more) show quite a discrepancy.

some "highlights":

Egypt: reported: 6.6k | excess: 87k
Mexico: reported: 220k | excess: 470k
Poland: reported: 75k | excess: 120k
Russia: reported: 110k | excess: 500k
South Africa: reported 60k | excess: 160k

USA: reported: 590k | excess: 640k+
UK: reported: 130k | excess: 110k+   (this surprises me, because we "know" UK has used odd ways of keeping track of covid deaths (lowballing it)
...

..

.

"excess mortality as a percentage of annual baseline mortality (gray)..."

Denmark:
-1%  so.... less people died in 2021, than is avg base line in years past? even with covid19 around...
Our excess deaths are actually a negative number (basically we announced every covid19 death, and had less than normal deaths pr year).


I wonder how accurate these numbers are though.

I wouldn't be surprised if real numbers (of excess deaths) are higher than the ones these researchers got their hands on.
Like eu has good records, and they are open to the public, and dont fiddle with numbers.... alot of countries arnt though.

This paper is only as good, as the accuracy of those excess death counts.
Like I said, alot of countries arnt very paticular about keeping track of things, or handing out that data.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 23 August 2021