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noshten on 20 August 2021
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Famitsu Top 50 Third Party 2021:

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.308.602
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 1.089.927
  3. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 420.381
  4. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  5. [NSW] Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 215.657
  6. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 191.983
  7. [NSW] Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 170.998
  8. [NSW] Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 169.708
  9. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  10. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  11. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  12. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 98.995
  13. [NSW] Yu-Gi-Oh! Rush Duel (Konami) - 96.297 NEW
  14. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 89.135
  15. [NSW] Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 85.310
  16. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 72.796
  17. [PS4] Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 72.727
  18. [NSW] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 65.620
  19. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 65.250
  20. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 63.641
  21. [NSW] Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 62.119
  22. [NSW] Samurai Warriors 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 61.350
  23. [NSW] Minecraft Dungeons (Microsoft) - 56.663
  24. [PS5] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 53.953
  25. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 40.688
  26. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 36.105
  27. [NSW] Family Trainer (Bandai Namco) - 35.273
  28. [PS4] Scarlet Nexus(Bandai Namco) - 31.665
  29. [PS4] Biomutant (THQ Nordic) - 30.292
  30. [NSW] Densha de Go!! (Square Enix) - 29.624
  31. [NSW] Apex Legends: Champion Edition (Electronic Arts) - 29.057
  32. [NSW] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 27.539
  33. [NSW] Disgaea 6: Defiance of Destiny (Nippon Ichi) - 25.744
  34. [NSW] Jack Jeanne (Broccoli) - 25.518
  35. [PS4] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 24.968
  36. [PS4] Judgment [New Price Edition] (Sega) - 24.271
  37. [PS5] Final Fantasy VII Remake Intergrade (Square Enix) - 23.491
  38. [NSW] Neo: The World Ends with You (Square Enix) - 22.028
  39. [NSW] The Quintessential Quintuplets Double Integral (Mages.) - 20.374
  40. [NSW] A-Train: All Aboard! Tourism (Artdink) - 20.043
  41. [PS4] Disgaea 6 (Nippon Ichi) - 18.289
  42. [NSW] The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles (Capcom) – 18.197
  43. [PS4] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 16.352
  44. [PS4] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 16.235
  45. [NSW] Angelique Luminarise (Koei Tecmo) - 14.506
  46. [PS4] Ninja Gaiden: Master Collection (Koei Tecmo) - 14.483
  47. [NSW] Winning Post 9 2021 (Koei Tecmo) - 14.368
  48. [PS4] NieR: Automata - GotY Edition (Square Enix) - 13.712
  49. [PS4] Guilty Gear: Strive (Arc System) - 13.574
  50. [PS4] Winning Post 9 2021 (Koei Tecmo) - 13.221

TOTAL: 6.814.193

NSW TOTAL: 6.096.712 (89.5%)

PS4 TOTAL: 640.037 (9.4%)

PS5 TOTAL: 77.444 (1.1%)

Top 10 Third Party Publishers 

  1. Capcom - 2.788.392 (40.9%)
  2. Konami - 1.384.761 (20.3%)
  3. Marvelous - 490.963 (7.2%)
  4. Square Enix - 488.698 (7.2%)
  5. Microsoft - 477.044 (7%)
  6. Bandai Namco - 293.593 (4.3%)
  7. Other - 268.201 (3.9%)
  8. Koei Tecmo - 252.774 (3.7%)
  9. Neos - 169.708 (2.5%)
  10. Sega - 101.064 (1.5%)
  11. Imagineer - 98.995 (1.5%)

In Japan it's likely that at the end of the year Switch maintains close to 90% of the Third Party Software sales. Right now there is only 6 PS4/PS5 games in the Top 30, but very soon the bar to get into the Top 30 is going beyond 60K sales. There are many games that haven't been updated in a long time that are likely continuing to sell very strongly outside the numbers Famitsu has provided. I wouldn't be surprised if the Switch versions of Little Nightmares 2, Sakuna & Age of Calamity to be near 100K right now, while Puyo Puyo Tetris 2, Family Trainer, Densha de Go!!, Apex Legends, Pro Baseball 2020, Disgaea 6, Jack Jeanne could all be between 40-70K. 

By the end of the year the games on the PS4 there would five to seven titles to surpass 100K, in the 200K and over range there would be two to three, while no PS4 game is likely to surpass 300K physical this year. Compared to past systems this will be a huge fall for the PS4 YOY, I don't think we've ever seen a legacy system become irrelevant so quickly, PS3 Software in 2015 were still close over 3 million; it's a comparable situation to PSV

Famitsu Top 100 2014-2020

PS3 Software 2014 - 5.733.625

PSV Software 2014 - 3.506.996

PS4 Software 2014 - 1.958.725

TOTAL: 11.199.346

PS3 Software 2015 - 2.993.064

PSV Software 2015 - 3.443.471

PS4 Software 2015 - 3.945.641

TOTAL: 10.382.176

PS3 Software 2016 - 1.091.532

PSV Software 2016 - 3.512.146

PS4 Software 2016 - 7.328.612

TOTAL: 11.932.290

PS3 Software 2017 - 21.226

PSV Software 2017 - 1.101.089

PS4 Software 2017 - 8.360.977

TOTAL: 9.483.292

PSV Software 2018 - 582.890

PS4 Software 2018 - 8.645.408

TOTAL: 9.228.298

PSV Software 2019 - 105.418

PS4 Software 2019 - 7.181.200

TOTAL: 7.286.618

PS4 Software 2020 - 5.434.093

PS5 Software 2020 - 61.908

TOTAL: 5.496.001

Famitsu Top 50 20201

PS4 Software 2021 - 640.037 (9.4%)

PS5 Software 2020 - 77.444 (1.1%)

TOTAL: 717.481

For the PS5 the situation with Third Party Software is such that I'm having huge doubts if total sales on the system would be surpassing 400K for the year, the only chance PS5 has to have a 100K+ third party seller this year is Tales of Arise, and I would be surprised if it happens. There doesn't appear to be 700K hardware sold to Japanese owners; to me such a horrible performance for games on a system has to do with the actual size of the audience. I don't think more than 200K Japanese actually own the system, it's getting resold overseas for a profit. Also there is not much to really offer to the audience, so far the only new games have been Resident Evil: Village and Scarlet Nexus, FFVII Remake Integrade. On a 200K userbase RE: Village would be over 25% attach rate, which to me seems to be more realistic based on past trends where we saw much higher physical sales even for X360. 

X360 Top Selling Games 2005-2006

  1. Blue Dragon (Microsoft) - 135.240
  2. Dead or Alive 4 (Tecmo) - 103.307
  3. Ridge Racer 6 (Namco) - 72.129
  4. Dead or Alive: Xtreme 2 (Tecmo) - 57.060
  5. Dead Rising (Capcom) - 49.978
  6. Lost Planet: Extreme Condition (Capcom) - 44.854
  7. Ninety-Nine Nights (Microsoft) - 38.019
  8. Rumble Roses XX (Konami) - 29.187
  9. Project Gotham Racing 3 (Microsoft) - 25.058
  10. Culdcept Saga (Bandai Namco) - 23.947

TOTAL: 578.779

TOTAL HARDWARE X360 2005-2006: 290.467

Based on the Software sales of the released games on the PS5 so far we are likely looking at less than 300K physical software sales and a userbase of around 200K, in my opinion the rest of the units have been resold overseas - hence Software isn't performing at the level I would expect for 600K PS5s which supports physical software.