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noshten said:

I guess they still have a chance if Power Prokun Pocket R is a break out hit or something, if it manages over 500K they might actually be the #1 third publisher two years in a row, although it will go down to the wire with Capcom hot on their heels. At the moment Konami is at 1.3 million & Momotaro is again showing great legs for them during Obon, giving them #2 place this week. They recently had another update for the game and will probably soon announce that they've been able to surpass 4 million shipped in Japan. This will put Momotaro on track to be their first 5 million seller in Japan joining Nintendo & Pokemon Co as the third publisher to achieve this feat on the Switch..

Momotaro first needs to reach 3.5M. They will definitely reach 4M eventually but it's not as close right now as you seem to think.