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noshten on 14 August 2021
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HARDWARE Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 4.427.926

NSW Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 3.954.085 (89.3%)

PS4 Q1-Q3 TOTAL 2020: 473.841 (10.7%)

HARDWARE TOTAL 2021: 4.123.300

NSW TOTAL 2021: 3.424.717 (83%)

PS5 TOTAL 2021: 698.583 (17%)

Switch would need 530K or an average of 76K sales in the next 7 weeks to surpass it's last year total at the end of the Quarter. 

With the OLED launch I think the more likely result is that Switch is down YoY at the end of Q3, but it will quickly catch up and overtake 2020 after OLED launches. 

Famitsu 2020 Q1-Q3 Top 30:

  1. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) - 5.754.082
  2. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) - 1.106.546
  3. [PS4] Final Fantasy VII Remake (Square) - 932.821
  4. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co) - 757.221
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) - 525.216
  6. [PS4] Ghost of Tsushima (Sony) - 399.370
  7. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo) - 391.195
  8. [NSW] Smash Ultimate (Nintendo) - 383.816
  9. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 366.328
  10. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo) - 317.449
  11. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo) - 297.159 
  12. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars (Nintendo) - 273.939
  13. [NSW] Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (Nintendo) - 267.467
  14. [NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (Pokemon Co.) - 259.513 
  15. [PS4] Resident Evil 3 (Capcom) - 258.676 
  16. [NSW] Paper Mario: The Origami King (Nintendo) - 256.899
  17. [PS4] Yakuza 7: Like a Dragon (Sega) - 243.769 
  18. [NSW] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 228.076
  19. [PS4] The Last of Us Part II (Sony) - 222.943 
  20. [PS4] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 (Konami) - 180.243
  21. [NSW] Luigi's Mansion 3 (Nintendo) - 179.438
  22. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 172.831
  23. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo) - 168.345
  24. [PS4] Mobile Suit Gundam: Extreme Vs. MaxiBoost On (Bandai Namco) - 161.014 
  25. [PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo) - 156.772
  26. [NSW] Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 156.140
  27. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo) - 155.834
  28. [PS4] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Atlus) - 149.898
  29. [PS4] Dragon Ball Z: Kakarot (Bandai) - 149.654 
  30. [NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 (Sega) - 138.550

NSW - 20

PS4 - 10

TOTAL: 15.011.204

TOTAL NSW: 12.156.044 (81%)

TOTAL PS4: 2.855.160 (19%)

Famitsu 2021 Top 30:

  1. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise (Capcom) - 2.303.192 
  2. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) – 1.067.953
  3. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury - 836.565 
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure – 647.226
  5. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 500.882
  6. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 466.442
  7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) – 398.986
  8. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 354.399
  9. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 281.140
  10. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield + Expansion Pass (Pokemon Co.) - 266.708
  11. [NSW] New Pokemon Snap (Pokemon Co.) - 265.980 
  12. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 243.347
  13. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword HD  - 234.224 
  14. [NSW] Splatoon 2 - 227.512
  15. [NSW] Super Mario Party - 222.336
  16. [NSW] Miitopia - 217.957 
  17. [NSW] Monster Hunter Stories 2 (Capcom) - 205.463 
  18. [NSW] Game Builder Garage - 200.100 
  19. [PS4] Resident Evil Village (Capcom) - 191.983
  20. [NSW] Mario Golf: Super Rush - 161.785 
  21. [NSW] Baseball Spirits 2021 (Konami) - 159.492 
  22. [PS4] NieR Replicant (Square Enix) - 158.265
  23. [NSW] Crayon Shin-Chan (Neos) - 156.274 
  24. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 136.091
  25. [NSW] Rune Factory 5 (Marvelous) - 127.968
  26. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 123.975
  27. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 104.782
  28. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 103.273
  29. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 91.326
  30. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 89.135

TOTAL: 10.544.761

TOTAL NSW: 10.194.513 (96.7%)

TOTAL PS4: 350.248 (3.3%)

Software in the Top 30 will only catch up to 2020 after Pokemon Brilliant Diamond/Shining Pearl, Mario Party Superstars & SMT V launch next Quarter. 

The remaining titles that can shake up the Top 30 until the end of the Quarter are Tales of Arise, Yu-Gi-Oh: Rush Duel, WarioWare, Kakarot & Lost Judgement. I expect the PS4 to have 3 games in the Top 30 after Tales launches, I think the PS4 version of the game will end up selling 150K to 200K