The Switch shipped 139.36M by 31.12.2023. LT sales expectations?

[DaAndy]

Just for a short summary about the Switch:

	<------	Global	------>	<------	Americ	------>	<------	Europe	------>	<------	Japan	------>	<------	Others	------>
	Quart	Year	Total	Quart	Year	Total	Quart	Year	Total	Quart	Year	Total	Quart	Year	Total
31.03.17	2,74	2,74	2,74	1,20	1,20	1,20				0,60	0,60	0,60
30.06.17	1,96	4,70	4,70	0,75	1,95	1,95				0,52	1,12	1,12
30.09.17	2,93	7,63	7,63	1,16	3,11	3,11				0,83	1,95	1,95
31.12.17	7,23	14,86	14,86	2,83	5,94	5,94				1,77	3,72	3,72
-----------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------
31.03.18	2,93	2,93	17,79	1,20	1,20	7,14			4,54	0,66	0,66	4,38			1,73
30.06.18	1,88	4,81	19,67	0,67	1,87	7,81	0,31	0,31	4,85	0,51	1,17	4,89	0,39	1,46	2,12
30.09.18	3,19	8,00	22,86	1,32	3,19	9,13	0,88	1,19	5,73	0,63	1,80	5,52	0,36	1,82	2,48
31.12.18	9,41	17,41	32,27	3,81	7,00	12,94	2,77	3,96	8,50	2,22	4,02	7,74	0,61	2,43	3,09
-----------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------
31.03.19	2,47	2,47	34,74	1,07	1,07	14,01	0,59	0,59	9,09	0,49	0,49	8,23	0,32	0,32	3,41
30.06.19	2,13	4,60	36,87	0,82	1,89	14,83	0,51	1,10	9,60	0,53	1,02	8,76	0,27	0,59	3,68
30.09.19	4,80	9,40	41,67	1,81	3,70	16,64	1,26	2,36	10,86	1,24	2,26	10,00	0,49	1,08	4,17
31.12.19	10,81	20,21	52,48	4,23	7,93	20,87	3,02	5,38	13,88	2,42	4,68	12,42	1,14	2,22	5,31
-----------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------
31.03.20	3,29	3,29	55,77	1,25	1,25	22,12	0,55	0,55	14,43	1,02	1,02	13,44	0,47	0,47	5,78
30.06.20	5,67	8,96	61,44	1,99	3,24	24,11	1,61	2,16	16,04	1,15	2,17	14,59	0,92	1,39	6,70
30.09.20	6,86	15,82	68,30	2,47	5,71	26,58	1,69	3,85	17,73	1,58	3,75	16,17	1,12	2,51	7,82
31.12.20	11,57	27,39	79,87	4,59	10,30	31,17	2,97	6,82	20,70	2,71	6,46	18,88	1,30	3,81	9,12
-----------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------	-------
31.03.21	4,72	4,72	84,59	2,10	2,10	33,27	0,88	0,88	21,58	1,16	1,16	20,04	0,58	0,58	9,70
30.06.21	4,45	9,17	89,04	1,59	3,69	34,86	1,08	1,96	22,66	1,16	2,32	21,20	0,62	1,20	10,32

Europe and Others had been combined for some time - thus there are no split sales early in switch lifetime.

Of course all are official Nintendo numbers.

Q2 2021 indeed was slower than Q2 2020, but Q1+Q2 2021 was better than Q1+Q2 2020. So everyone can be right - just use the numbers as you need them. ;)

btw. I have voted for 135-150 million. That should be pretty doable unless Switch 2 will be a surprise release much earlier than we expect right now.